**JUSTIFICATION:** The current assessment of Aurora Innovation's potential to generate revenue in 2024 takes into consideration recent strategic developments and partnerships, specifically the exclusive partnership with Continental aimed at delivering the commercially scalable Aurora Driver and the introduction of the Aurora Horizon subscription trucking service. These developments provide additional substantiation for Aurora Innovation's operational and strategic readiness to transition towards generating revenue. **New facts to consider:** - **Exclusive Partnership with Continental**: This partnership is pivotal for Aurora, as it not only involves the development and manufacturing of a crucial component of Aurora’s service offering—the Aurora Driver—but also symbolizes a significant vote of confidence from an established automotive industry player. The comprehensive nature of this partnership, covering development, manufacturing, delivery, and servicing of the autonomous systems, strengthens Aurora’s capability to launch a viable product. - **Implementation of a Hardware-as-a-Service Business Model**: The agreement upon a hardware-as-a-service model based on mileage driven, slated to begin with the rollout of Aurora Horizon, represents a transformative approach to generating ongoing revenue streams. This model inherently increases the likelihood of revenue generation starting in 2024, as it allows for scalability and adaptability to fleet operators and carriers’ demands. - **Operational Timeline Clarity**: The expected launch of Aurora Horizon in 2024, directly aligned with Aurora's revenue-generation targets, is a critical milestone. Combined with the first start of production expected in 2027 for the hardware, this timeline indicates a phased approach where initial service offerings can begin generating revenue well before the full operational capacity is achieved. **Adjustments based on the new information:** Given these enhancements in strategic partnerships, business model innovation, and clear operational timelines, there is a solid foundation to assume a positive trajectory towards revenue generation for Aurora Innovation in 2024. Notwithstanding, it remains imperative to recognize that the success of these initiatives is subject to factors such as market adoption rates, the technological robustness of the autonomous systems, and the regulatory landscape which could either favor rapid commercialization or impose delays. While the partnership with Continental and the impending launch of Aurora Horizon notably enhance the probability of revenue generation, the inherent uncertainties in pioneering a new market segment—particularly in autonomous vehicle technology—necessitate a tempered optimism. **Therefore, considering the new facts and assessing the reinforced operational readiness against the backdrop of existing uncertainties, the probability that Aurora Innovation will generate revenue in 2024, as reported in its financial filings with the SEC, is modestly adjusted to 0.88.** This update reflects an increased confidence in Aurora's strategic position and readiness for market entry, incrementally balanced with caution towards uncertainties in deployment and market acceptance.